Extreme Storms

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Tropical cyclones, coastal storms and flooding – Australia – 5 – 11 February 2023

· by Harley Pearman

For the past 7 days, there has been some dynamic weather within Australian waters as well as some intense thunderstorm and rain activity across parts of the country. From tropical cyclones within Australian waters to intense thunderstorms and rainfall that has brought local flooding, the past week has been active weather wise.

Tropical cyclones

It has been a quiet season for such storms but during the week, two tropical cyclones formed within Australian waters but fortunately, both moved away from the country with one heading west away from Western Australia and one heading south east away from Queensland towards the North Island of New Zealand.

Tropical Cyclone Freddy

Tropical Cyclone Freddy formed south of Indonesia but north west of Western Australia. Depending on what rating is used:

  • The storm reached Category 3 under “The Australian Tropical Cyclone Intensity Scale” while within Australian waters.
  • The storm reached Category 2 using the Saffir Simpson Scale while within Australian waters.
  • The storm may reach Category 3 on the Saffir Simpson Scale as it continues to move westward away from land.

The storm remained well offshore and would have only impacted flights between Australia and Indonesia. The storm has now moved so far west that it now poses no threat to any part of Australia.

It had sustained peak wind gusts to 75 knots at the core or 139 km/h while within Australian waters. Based upon CIMSS forecast models, the storm may reach peak intensity over the next 36 hours across open ocean with peak wind gusts to 100 knots or 185 km/h at Category 3. Following that, the storm will begin to travel over cooler waters which would contribute to a gradual weakening of the system.

Tropical Cyclone Freddy Thursday 9 February 2023
CIMSS Forecast plot for Tropical Cyclone Freddy as at Thursday 9 February 2023 showing expected movement to west – The strength of the storm as shown is under the Saffir Simpson Scale.
Infra red image of Tropical Cyclone Freddy Thursday 9 February 2023.
CIMSS Infra red image and forecast plot for Tropical Cyclone Freddy as at Thursday 9 February 2023 – The strength of the storm as shown is under the Saffir Simpson Scale.

Generally, the storm was relatively small while within Australian waters when compared to the second of the two tropical cyclones.

NASA Worldview image of Tropical Cyclone Freddy
NASA Worldview image of Tropical Cyclone Freddy including basic forecast plot – Thursday 9 February 2023.

Tropical Cyclone Gabrielle

Tropical Cyclone Gabrielle formed north east of Queensland and travelled south then south east parallel and away from the coast. The storm generated substantial cloud formations and had a well defined eye at peak intensity. The storm only reached Category 2 under the Saffir Simpson Scale but rated 3 under the Australian Tropical Cyclone Intensity Scale.

CIMSS image of Tropical Cyclone Gabrielle Thursday 9 February 2023.
CIMSS image and forecast plot for Tropical Cyclone Gabrielle as at Thursday 9 February 2023. The strength of the storm is shown based upon the Saffir Simpson Scale.
CIMSS infra red image of Tropical Cyclone Gabrielle Thursday 9 February 2023.
CIMSS infra red image of Tropical Cyclone Gabrielle Thursday 9 February 2023 including forecast plot. The strength of the storm shown is based upon the Saffir Simpson Scale.

The storm passed close to Norfolk Island and is now a strong storm but below tropical cyclone strength as it approaches the north island of New Zealand.

NASA Worldview image of Tropical Cyclone Freddy as at Wednesday 8 February 2023.
NASA Worldview image of Tropical Cyclone Freddy as at Wednesday 8 February 2023 off the NE Queensland coast.

The images attached are a combination of NASA and CIMSS taken Thursday 9 February 2023.

Thunderstorms / Rain and floods

While the cleanup at Port Macquarie continues following the recent thunderstorm and microburst event across parts of the city, other parts of the country were impacted by significant thunderstorm or rain events. Thunderstorms and rain events impacted:

  • Coastal Sydney but mostly within the coastal areas and areas 10 to 15 km inland. The bulk of the activity was centred around Botany Bay and nearby areas.
  • Wagga Wagga and nearby regions.
  • Central West New South Wales.
  • Southern Cape York Peninsular Queensland where falls of 200 to 300 mm fell.

Thunderstorms across coastal New South Wales were hit and miss. Many areas across Western Sydney recorded minimal or even no rainfall (eg 1.2 mm from 2 very light passing showers at Doonside where I live to 65 mm at Little Bay).

Other areas were impacted by flooding rains but fortunately, such rainfall was localized and limited to exposed coastal regions.

To 9 am Thursday morning, 380 mm of flooding rains fell at Greenwell Point with 133 mm falling at Foxground and 127 mm falling at Kiama (All within the Illawarra region).

At the same time, falls of up to 65 mm fell across parts of Sydney from heavy overnights showers including:

  • 65 mm at Little Bay.
  • 62 mm at Sydney Airport.
  • 57 mm at Sans Souci.

Such rainfall did not penetrate inland.

During mid Thursday afternoon, a slow moving thunderstorm across south eastern Sydney dropped some substantial rainfalls including:

  • Audley (Royal National Park – 95 mm.
  • Mount Pleasant – 85 mm.
  • Mossman – 56 mm.
  • Terrey Hills – 53 mm.

This certainly caused flash flooding cutting roads and creating havoc.

Major thunderstorms and heavy rainfall impacted Bellambi during Friday where between 11 am and 1 pm Friday, 110.6 mm fell for a total of 116 mm for the 24 hour period to 9 am Saturday morning.

Weekly rainfall plot for Sydney ending Saturday 11 February 2023
Weekly rainfall plot for Sydney ending Saturday 11 February 2023. The contrast between the hit and miss storms is clear with Western Sydney between Blacktown and Penrith generally missing the events.

Even on Friday evening and as shown in the attached photos taken from Doonside, an isolated thunderstorm passed along coastal Sydney at sunset creating a colourful scene looking east.

Photo of evening storm taken from Doonside looking east
Evening storm at sunset looking east from Doonside – Image taken using my Nikon D3200 DSLR camera.

No storm activity reached further west than Auburn and much of Sydney’s west between Blacktown and Penrith remained dry. This is shown in the weekly rainfall plot generated from the “Water and the Land”.

Open the storm map around Australia, QLD

More storms near Australia

Heavy Rainfall impacts Southeast Queensland and Northeast New South Wales – 17 and 18 May 2026 23 May 2026 · Gold Coast / SE Queensland, QLD Brisbane’s 300 mm Sunday deluge – Now the cleanup begins – Sunday 9 March 2025 15 Mar 2025 · Brisbane, QLD, QLD Tropical Cyclone Alfred – Makes landfall and nears its end SE Queensland and NE New South Wales – 8 March 2025 8 Mar 2025 · SE Queensland / NE NSW, QLD Former Tropical Cyclone Alfred – Possible east coast low and rain event QLD / NSW March 3 to 12 2025 2 Mar 2025 · SE Queensland, QLD A week of thunderstorms – Eastern Australia between November 8 and November 17 2024 17 Nov 2024 · Eastern Australia, QLD Queensland – A week of heavy rain / storms and floods from 28 January to 3 February 2024 3 Feb 2024 · Queensland, QLD Heavy rain, storms and flooding – North East New South Wales and South East Queensland – 1 – 2 January 2024 5 Jan 2024 · NE NSW / SE Queensland, NSW Major thunderstorm outbreak Eastern Australia – December 24 to December 27 28 Dec 2023 · Eastern Australia, QLD Quick teaser from yesterday, after the structure shot. Taken about 2km outside of Beaudesert hand held through the window of the car…way too danger… 23 Dec 2023 · Beaudesert, QLD, QLD May 2022 – Another wet month for some regions – Queensland and New South Wales 5 Jun 2022 · Queensland, QLD Significant rain event NSW and QLD – 9 to 13 May 2022 15 May 2022 · Queensland, QLD Significant rain potential for QLD and NSW – 9 to 15 May 2022 8 May 2022 · Queensland, QLD

Also on 11 February

After the storm Hail damage repair Hail dents removed from behind, factory paint kept. Hail Dent Repair.
Coming soon Radar and storm forecasting Live radar tools and severe storm forecasts from the Extreme Storms team.