More evidence of extreme CAPE values – this time a spot sounding exceeded 6000J/kg. It will be interesting if storms erupt and to what extent the lightning activity will be.
General Weather · Lightning
Extreme CAPE Gulf of Carpentaria
More storms near Gulf of Carpentaria
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Another Tropical Low Forming 11th March 2013
11 Mar 2013 · Karumba, QLD
Tropical Cyclone Charlotte: QLD 11 – 12 Jan 2009
8 Jan 2009 · Karumba, QLD
All storm reports from Gulf of Carpentaria →
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A problem with that profile is that the lowers are a bit too dry and uppers moist. Latest runs have more modest instability but a better moisture profile for storms/
Hi Michael, there were definitely going to be down bursts with the storms in this region. The models this morning gave downgraded significantly the outlook to a more Australian typical environment!
You are correct Michael! Earlier soundings on the model runs were slightly more impressive. Anyway, in the end it was downgraded to 3000J/kg.
You are correct Michael! Earlier soundings on the model runs were slightly more impressive. Anyway, in the end it was downgraded to 3000J/kg.
holy crap batman
Dan Stewart Batman would have been smashed by something of this magnitude!