If this comes off, it may be the most significant rainfall event in at least a year for a majority of eastern NSW. Given the fact the region has been dry for such a long period of time, it is inevitable that a significant rain event is to settle the imbalance. It will have to be watched to see if the long term models are correct about this event.
A rain event is almost likely for inland NSW and Queensland but these long term models are trying to depict a developing low situated near Sydney. Such conditions are difficult to determine this far out.
Now this is something interesting if the models are right although this far out, probabilities are usually too unstable to predict.
Now this is something interesting if the models are right although this far out, probabilities are usually too unstable to predict.
What interests me is where the system originates from. It has been awhile since a system that has a tropical origin has impacted us.
What interests me is where the system originates from. It has been awhile since a system that has a tropical origin has impacted us.
Models are still seeing some rain fro the central coast but much lower in intensity – obviously quite the normal for models to oscillate between model runs. However, there seems to be confidence to be getting some rainfall particularly along the coast next week and towards the end of the month.
Models are still seeing some rain fro the central coast but much lower in intensity – obviously quite the normal for models to oscillate between model runs. However, there seems to be confidence to be getting some rainfall particularly along the coast next week and towards the end of the month.
Looks like a possible superstorm on the cards now! Just looked at at the 17th and GFS has a tropical low merging with an intense polar low just west of Tasmania which "bombs" into one very intense slow moving system. Could be a flood event with isolated supercells for Vic/Tas!!!
Looks like a possible superstorm on the cards now! Just looked at at the 17th and GFS has a tropical low merging with an intense polar low just west of Tasmania which "bombs" into one very intense slow moving system. Could be a flood event with isolated supercells for Vic/Tas!!!
Hi Jeff – based on the current scenario it would be a dream to be a supercell event!
Hi Jeff – based on the current scenario it would be a dream to be a supercell event!
The system is still on the cards!
The system is still on the cards!
Haha, its always fun looking 10-16 days in advance but the dream scenarios that pop up that far out very rarely come to pass!
Haha, its always fun looking 10-16 days in advance but the dream scenarios that pop up that far out very rarely come to pass!